Comments (6)
10_000 runs (no home advantage, "coin toss" tiebreaker)
Wins:
Manchester City: 3193
Liverpool: 3092
Manchester United: 819
Newcastle United: 778
Brighton & Hove Albion: 737
Bournemouth: 353
Wolverhampton Wanderers: 330
Chelsea: 308
Nottingham Forest: 105
Luton Town: 104
Leeds United: 39
Coventry City: 38
Blackburn Rovers: 37
Southampton: 34
Leicester City: 33
from openengine.
10_000 runs (no home advantage, extra time tiebreaker)
Winners:
Liverpool: 3397
Manchester City: 3385
Brighton & Hove Albion: 737
Manchester United: 724
Newcastle United: 693
Wolverhampton Wanderers: 305
Bournemouth: 270
Chelsea: 255
Nottingham Forest: 79
Luton Town: 70
Blackburn Rovers: 20
Coventry City: 18
Leicester City: 18
Southampton: 17
Leeds United: 12
Runner ups:
Liverpool: 1596
Manchester City: 1547
Manchester United: 1144
Brighton & Hove Albion: 1140
Newcastle United: 1133
Chelsea: 691
Wolverhampton Wanderers: 662
Bournemouth: 657
Nottingham Forest: 360
Luton Town: 354
Coventry City: 164
Leicester City: 147
Southampton: 138
Leeds United: 133
Blackburn Rovers: 133
Maidstone United: 1
Final participants:
Liverpool: 4993
Manchester City: 4932
Brighton & Hove Albion: 1877
Manchester United: 1868
Newcastle United: 1826
Wolverhampton Wanderers: 967
Chelsea: 946
Bournemouth: 927
Nottingham Forest: 439
Luton Town: 424
Coventry City: 182
Leicester City: 165
Southampton: 155
Blackburn Rovers: 153
Leeds United: 145
Maidstone United: 1
Historical coefficient:
Liverpool: 8390
Manchester City: 8317
Brighton & Hove Albion: 2614
Manchester United: 2592
Newcastle United: 2519
Wolverhampton Wanderers: 1272
Chelsea: 1201
Bournemouth: 1197
Nottingham Forest: 518
Luton Town: 494
Coventry City: 200
Leicester City: 183
Blackburn Rovers: 173
Southampton: 172
Leeds United: 157
Maidstone United: 1
from openengine.
10_000 runs (no home advantage, extra time & penalties tiebreakers)
Winners:
Liverpool: 3327
Manchester City: 3325
Brighton & Hove Albion: 767
Newcastle United: 735
Manchester United: 709
Wolverhampton Wanderers: 290
Bournemouth: 284
Chelsea: 276
Luton Town: 90
Nottingham Forest: 86
Blackburn Rovers: 26
Coventry City: 25
Leicester City: 21
Leeds United: 20
Southampton: 19
Runner ups:
Liverpool: 1563
Manchester City: 1534
Manchester United: 1192
Brighton & Hove Albion: 1153
Newcastle United: 1139
Chelsea: 711
Wolverhampton Wanderers: 665
Bournemouth: 655
Luton Town: 348
Nottingham Forest: 324
Leeds United: 147
Coventry City: 144
Leicester City: 144
Blackburn Rovers: 144
Southampton: 136
Maidstone United: 1
Final participants:
Liverpool: 4890
Manchester City: 4859
Brighton & Hove Albion: 1920
Manchester United: 1901
Newcastle United: 1874
Chelsea: 987
Wolverhampton Wanderers: 955
Bournemouth: 939
Luton Town: 438
Nottingham Forest: 410
Blackburn Rovers: 170
Coventry City: 169
Leeds United: 167
Leicester City: 165
Southampton: 155
Maidstone United: 1
Historical coefficient:
Liverpool: 8217
Manchester City: 8184
Brighton & Hove Albion: 2687
Manchester United: 2610
Newcastle United: 2609
Chelsea: 1263
Wolverhampton Wanderers: 1245
Bournemouth: 1223
Luton Town: 528
Nottingham Forest: 496
Blackburn Rovers: 196
Coventry City: 194
Leeds United: 187
Leicester City: 186
Southampton: 174
Maidstone United: 1
from openengine.
10_000 runs (home advantage, extra time & penalties tiebreakers)
Winners:
Liverpool: 3344
Manchester City: 3334
Manchester United: 751
Newcastle United: 741
Brighton & Hove Albion: 716
Bournemouth: 281
Chelsea: 274
Wolverhampton Wanderers: 263
Luton Town: 93
Nottingham Forest: 90
Southampton: 31
Coventry City: 24
Leeds United: 24
Leicester City: 18
Blackburn Rovers: 16
Runner ups:
Liverpool: 1584
Manchester City: 1574
Newcastle United: 1159
Brighton & Hove Albion: 1156
Manchester United: 1086
Wolverhampton Wanderers: 690
Bournemouth: 670
Chelsea: 669
Nottingham Forest: 359
Luton Town: 342
Southampton: 149
Leeds United: 148
Blackburn Rovers: 145
Leicester City: 139
Coventry City: 128
Maidstone United: 2
Final participants:
Liverpool: 4928
Manchester City: 4908
Newcastle United: 1900
Brighton & Hove Albion: 1872
Manchester United: 1837
Wolverhampton Wanderers: 953
Bournemouth: 951
Chelsea: 943
Nottingham Forest: 449
Luton Town: 435
Southampton: 180
Leeds United: 172
Blackburn Rovers: 161
Leicester City: 157
Coventry City: 152
Maidstone United: 2
Historical coefficient:
Liverpool: 8272
Manchester City: 8242
Newcastle United: 2641
Brighton & Hove Albion: 2588
Manchester United: 2588
Bournemouth: 1232
Chelsea: 1217
Wolverhampton Wanderers: 1216
Nottingham Forest: 539
Luton Town: 528
Southampton: 211
Leeds United: 196
Blackburn Rovers: 177
Coventry City: 176
Leicester City: 175
Maidstone United: 2
from openengine.
Average winner skill rating
- no home advantage: 9.19
- real life home advantage: 9.17
- home advantage in all matches: 9.16
- 'coin toss' tiebreaker, no home advantage: 9.08
- 'coin toss' tiebreaker, real home advantage: 9.05
- 'coin toss' tiebreaker, home advantage in all matches: 9.02
from openengine.
FA Cup season 2023:
Winners:
Manchester City: 4319
Manchester United: 2267
Tottenham Hotspur: 1098
Brighton & Hove Albion: 1097
Fulham: 442
West Ham United: 420
Leicester City: 50
Burnley: 48
Leeds United: 47
Southampton: 47
Bristol City: 43
Stoke City: 41
Blackburn Rovers: 38
Sheffield United: 33
Fleetwood Town: 9
Grimsby Town: 1
Runner ups:
Manchester United: 1680
Manchester City: 1422
Brighton & Hove Albion: 1408
Tottenham Hotspur: 1394
West Ham United: 971
Fulham: 966
Blackburn Rovers: 270
Leeds United: 266
Burnley: 263
Stoke City: 258
Leicester City: 255
Southampton: 246
Sheffield United: 238
Bristol City: 237
Fleetwood Town: 96
Grimsby Town: 30
Final participants:
Manchester City: 5741
Manchester United: 3947
Brighton & Hove Albion: 2505
Tottenham Hotspur: 2492
Fulham: 1408
West Ham United: 1391
Leeds United: 313
Burnley: 311
Blackburn Rovers: 308
Leicester City: 305
Stoke City: 299
Southampton: 293
Bristol City: 280
Sheffield United: 271
Fleetwood Town: 105
Grimsby Town: 31
Historical coefficient:
Manchester City: 10060
Manchester United: 6214
Brighton & Hove Albion: 3602
Tottenham Hotspur: 3590
Fulham: 1850
West Ham United: 1811
Leeds United: 360
Burnley: 359
Leicester City: 355
Blackburn Rovers: 346
Stoke City: 340
Southampton: 340
Bristol City: 323
Sheffield United: 304
Fleetwood Town: 114
Grimsby Town: 32
Average winner skill rating: 8.8961
from openengine.
Related Issues (20)
- Test match engine output
- Remove 'isGoal' flag
- Distinguish between defensive and attacking boxes
- Awarded penalties evaluation
- Use pitch positions for transition evaluations
- Create grid
- Injury time (and general time management)
- Simplify DynamicTransition objects creation
- Kick-off time
- Relabel 'goalAttemptOutcome' field to 'finalState'
- Test competition runs (FA Cup 2024; no home advantage, 'coin toss' tiebreaker) HOT 30
- Implement proper tiebreaker
- Simulate home advantage
- Test competition runs (FA Cup 2024; no home advantage, extra time tiebreaker) HOT 30
- Test competition runs (FA Cup 2024; no home advantage, extra time and penalties tiebreakers) HOT 30
- Test competition runs (FA Cup 2024; home advantage, full tiebreakers) HOT 30
- Use database for data storage (both inputs and outputs) of tournament simulations
- Rewrite MPN code
- Write clear match commentary
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