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JohnCRuf avatar JohnCRuf commented on June 5, 2024

Is there any random feature of the setting that I can use to exploit this more than just with TWFE? Eg. Assume contagiousness of government approval, if so then wouldn't vote share for incumbent in nearby precincts outside of ward be a valid IV for incumbent sentiment in this ward?

from alderman_machine.

JohnCRuf avatar JohnCRuf commented on June 5, 2024

Suppose that voters can only imperfectly attribute spending to an alderman, then using nearby spending as an IV for support would also be valid. However, this can be a substitute for spending in border precincts.

from alderman_machine.

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