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azev77 avatar azev77 commented on May 29, 2024

@ablaom currently MLJ models can give deterministic & probabilistic predictions (GLM predicts an entire distribution).
If methods for conformal predictive inference become more developed, can users automatically combine their favorite (appropriate) deterministic predictor w/ their favorite predictive interval method, to make probabilistic predictions?

For example:
currently model = LGBMRegressor() gives deterministic predictions
would a user be able to create a new model composing a deterministic model LGBMRegressor w/ their favorite (appropriate) predictive interval method e.g. conformal(type=naive) to create a new model w/ probabilistic predictions?

Note: at some point it would be great to compare these w/ predictions/Prediction Intervals from NGBoost.py etc

from conformalprediction.jl.

ablaom avatar ablaom commented on May 29, 2024

For example:
currently model = LGBMRegressor() gives deterministic predictions
would a user be able to create a new model composing a deterministic model LGBMRegressor w/ their favorite (appropriate) predictive interval method e.g. conformal(type=naive) to create a new model w/ probabilistic predictions?

Yes, I guess that's the design I am suggesting. So, similar to the way BinaryThresholdPredictor wraps any probabilistic predictor and makes it deterministic.

from conformalprediction.jl.

pat-alt avatar pat-alt commented on May 29, 2024

Hi @ablaom 👋🏽 Thanks very much for this suggestion and sorry for the delayed response (been battling Covid this week while also trying to finish my JuliaCon proceedings submission 😅 ). I will implement this first thing once I turn back to working on this package some time next week 👍🏽

from conformalprediction.jl.

pat-alt avatar pat-alt commented on May 29, 2024

Implemented in #10, but will keep this open for now, because I still want to iron out a few things (some related questions here).

from conformalprediction.jl.

pat-alt avatar pat-alt commented on May 29, 2024

#18 should now be strictly in line with MLJ @ablaom, so I will close this. Will still need to figure out how to handle downstream tasks like evaluate in the future.

from conformalprediction.jl.

ablaom avatar ablaom commented on May 29, 2024

Did you not need new abstract model subtype(s) at MLJModelInterface? For set-predictions (we already have Interval).

from conformalprediction.jl.

pat-alt avatar pat-alt commented on May 29, 2024

Yup, you're right. Have done that now in #20

from conformalprediction.jl.

Related Issues (20)

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