Authors: Niccolò Borri, Philipp Hilmbauer, Ramzi Chariag, Marton Vegh, Adam Vig

The repository contains the paper, code and data for our replication exercise to the Empirical Political Economy class at CEU 2022 Winter.

The purpose of this report is to replicate the results from Jones and Olken (2009) on democratization and conflict, to test their robustness and to augment their analysis by adding new methods. In particular, we recreate the main results of the original analysis, we add controls and fixed effects to examine the robustness of their main results, and we employ an event study design to investigate the dynamic aspects of the post-assassination period. Overall, the results are largely reproducible and robust, however the effects cannot be found when adding the dynamic component to the analysis.

1. The replicator should set the working directory in master.do to the project folder.
2. Run stata -b do master.do from the terminal and all tables should be replicated.
3. To display event study figures, run code/eventstudy.do in Stata.

We accessed data and code from the original replication package from here:

• Jones, Benjamin F., and Olken, Benjamin A. Replication data for: Hit or Miss? The Effect of Assassinations on Institutions and War. Nashville, TN: American Economic Association [publisher], 2009. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2019-10-12. https://doi.org/10.3886/E114047V1