This repository contains data files and computer (R) code used for the paper Qian et al. (2020), currently under review.

The main R code file is GibbsMS.R, which calls the initial data processing file EcFl1_data.R. Figures in the manuscript were generated by calling the tikzDevice. The ordered multinomial logit model was implemented in a separate file hierPolr.R.

• Qian, S.S., J.G. Kennen, J. May, M.C. Freeman, T.F. Cuffney (2020) Evaluating the Impact of Watershed Development and Climate Change on Stream Ecosystems: A Bayesian Network Modeling Approach (in review)

All the Land Use and Climate Data, Water Use, and SWAT model hydrologic data used in the cBN model are shared via data releases on USGS Science Base. The Benthic Macroinvertebrate Data from NC Department of Environmental Quality (NCDEQ) was directly acquired from the USEPA STORET database via the water quality data portal (https://tinyurl.com/y4b4hbre). The SC Department of Health & Environmental Control (SCDHEC) macro data was acquired from Jim Glover.

Land Use and Climate Projections (Sanchez et al. 2020)

Sanchez, G.M., Terando, A., Smith, J.W., Garcia, A.M., Wagner, C.R., and Meentemeyer, R.K., 2020b, Land-use and water demand projections (2012 to 2065) under different scenarios of environmental change for North Carolina, South Carolina, and coastal Georgia: U.S. Geological Survey data release, https://doi.org/10.5066/P95PTP5G.

Water Use

Gonthier, G.J., and Painter, J.A., 2020, Estimated Use of Water for Coastal Carolinas Focus Area Study: U.S. Geological Survey data release, https://doi.org/10.5066/P9PSFJYB.

SWAT Model Output for the Cape Fear and Pee Dee River Basins

Cape Fear River Basin

Gurley, L.N., Garcia, A.M., and Pfiefle, C.M., 2020, Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) Models for the Cape Fear River Basin used to Investigate Changes in Water Availability based on Land-Use, Climate, and Water Demand Projections, U.S. Geological Survey data release, https://doi.org/10.5066/P98PVDBW.

Pee Dee River Basin

Gurley, L.N., Garcia, A.M., and Pfiefle, C.M., 2020, Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) Models for the Pee Dee River Basin used to Investigate Changes in Water Availability based on Land-Use, Climate, and Water Demand Projections, U.S. Geological Survey data release, https://doi.org/10.5066/P951VE5P.