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arima-model's Introduction

ARIMA-Model

ARIMA model from scratch using numpy and pandas. ARIMA is a simple technique used for forecasting time series. Go through the ARIMA notebook for code and detailed explanation.

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jinit24 avatar

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arima-model's Issues

Question on linear regression for MA model

Hi. Your code for MA linear regression uses residual for y_train
image

But the following MA model equation says y_train is y_t rather than residual_t
image

Is your code needed to be fixed or is my interpretation incorrect?

How to Un-differencing the data?

Hello Jinit, I have read your awesome code in this repo and the article in medium which helps me a lot and thank you for your work. But I can not grasp the key idea about the way of Un-differencing the data. Could you please explain the code with more details?

df_c.Value += np.log(df).shift(1).Value
df_c.Value += np.log(df).diff().shift(12).Value
df_c.Predicted_Values += np.log(df).shift(1).Value 
df_c.Predicted_Values += np.log(df).diff().shift(12).Value
df_c.Value = np.exp(df_c.Value)
df_c.Predicted_Values = np.exp(df_c.Predicted_Values)

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