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karagul's Projects

deep-brain-simulation-for-alzheimer-s-patient icon deep-brain-simulation-for-alzheimer-s-patient

In this project I motivated by a hypothesis by a research team from University of Toronto that a particular area of the human brain named 'Fornix' is responsible for increasing memory in the brain and this may be a potential clinical cure for affected brain cell like Alzheimer's patient. Alzheimer's patient suffer from declination of memory. Alzheimer's disease can be clinically healed(not fully-cured though) by applying Deep Brain Stimulation for the patients are in early Alzheimer's disease. My quest to find various features and factors and give accurate prediction by building various Machine Learning model and Artificial Neural Network to detect early Alzheimer's patient, hence, help them to undergo Deep Brain Simulation(DBS) process for Alzheimer's treatment.

deep-forecast icon deep-forecast

Forecasting Macroeconomic Parameters with Deep Learning Neural Networks - Final Year Peoject

deep_news icon deep_news

A trading algorithm which uses news and ticker data to predict the volatility and volume of ETFs.

deep_portfolio_theory icon deep_portfolio_theory

Deep Portfolio Theory is a portfolio selection method published by J. B. Heaton, N. G. Polson, J. H. Witte from GreyMaths Inc. Authors' codes are proprietary, We tried to implement this method on BSE Healthcare stocks. We constructed the deep portfolio method over the modern portfolio theory, Markowitz’s classic risk-return trade-off. Four-step routine of encode, calibrate, validate and verify to formulate an automated and general portfolio selection process. At the heart of our algorithm are deep hierarchical compositions of portfolios constructed in the encoding step. The calibration step then provides multivariate payouts in the form of deep hierarchical portfolios that are designed to target a variety of objective functions. The validate step trades-off the amount of regularization used in the encode and calibrate steps. The verification step uses a cross validation approach to trace out an ex post deep portfolio efficient frontier. We demonstrate all four steps of our portfolio theory numerically.

deeptrade icon deeptrade

A LSTM model using Risk Estimation loss function for stock trades in market

default-correlation icon default-correlation

I apply Merton's Single Factor Copula to Lending Club data to analyze the default correlation.

defaulters-risk-prediction-banking icon defaulters-risk-prediction-banking

Buliding a predictive model to help the banks in predicting the probability of a customer defaulting in the future based on the historic data is the ultimate objective of the project . For which structured methodology is followed, in which the historic data of the customers are cleaned , splitted for testing and training , independency are checked ,classification algorithms were used like J48,Naïve Bayes, MLP,base line accuracy for the available data set is calculated, models were repeatedly tested and trained with Hold out and K-fold cross validation methods ,significant features are selected and the models were re evaluated for accuracy and precision comparison , model errors are address with the ROC .Individual model outputs are captured and compared with each other to get the best model for the Defaulter prediction.

demo_dashboard icon demo_dashboard

Interactive Dashboard in R using flexdashboard, shiny and plotly

departmentnewsletter-rmd- icon departmentnewsletter-rmd-

An Rmarkdown that wrangles data from an open google sheet into a newsletter format and emails it to the department graduate student listserv.

deriv_models icon deriv_models

Scripts to model various derivative instruments. Adaptations from QuantLib and Yves Hilpisch books

derivative_pricing icon derivative_pricing

The aim of the project is to create application, which allows to determine the price of the financial derivatives, its sensitivities in different models (stochastic volatility, local volatility). Models will be calibrated the market on the basis of volatility surface.

detection-estimation-learning icon detection-estimation-learning

Python notebooks for my graduate class on Detection, Estimation, and Learning. Intended for in-class demonstration. Notebooks illustrate a variety of concepts, from hypothesis testing to estimation to image denoising to Kalman filtering. Feel free to use or modify for your instruction or self-study.

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