This group project uses Kaggle data on Ames (Iowa) housing prices and various machine learning techniques to build a predictive model.
Besides original Kaggle data we add several more features:
- Dow Jones US Real Estate Index
- Corn prices
- Labor force in Ames
- Unemployment rate in Ames
- Fannie Mae mortgage rates.
All these variables are treated as lagged variables compareg to the date of house sale.
We use 4 linear models, a Random Forest Regressor and an XGB model to make predictions.
Finally, we stack the models using the inverse of their error rate on a test set as weights.
The resulting RMSLE is 0.119