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ames's Introduction

The Machine Learning Project at NYCDSA

About

This group project uses Kaggle data on Ames (Iowa) housing prices and various machine learning techniques to build a predictive model.

Data

Besides original Kaggle data we add several more features:

  • Dow Jones US Real Estate Index
  • Corn prices
  • Labor force in Ames
  • Unemployment rate in Ames
  • Fannie Mae mortgage rates.

All these variables are treated as lagged variables compareg to the date of house sale.

Models

We use 4 linear models, a Random Forest Regressor and an XGB model to make predictions.

Finally, we stack the models using the inverse of their error rate on a test set as weights.

The resulting RMSLE is 0.119

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