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persp-model_w18's Introduction

MACS 30100 - Perspectives on Computational Modeling (Winter 2018)

Dr. Richard Evans Chelsea Ernhofer (TA) Sushmita Gopalan (TA)
Email [email protected] [email protected] [email protected]
Office 208 McGiffert House
Office Hours T 9:30-11:30am
GitHub rickecon cernhofer sushmitavgopalan16
  • Meeting day/time: MW 11:30am-1:20pm, Saieh Hall, Room 247
  • Lab session: TBA
  • Office hours also available by appointment

Course description

Students are often well trained in the details of specific models relevant to their respective fields. This course presents a generic definition of a model in the social sciences as well as a taxonomy of a wide range of different types of models used. We cover principles of model building, including static versus dynamic models, linear versus nonlinear, simple versus complicated, and identification versus overfitting. Major types of models implemented in this course include systems of nonlinear equations, linear and nonlinear regression, supervised learning (decision trees, random forests, support vector machines, etc.), and unsupervised learning. We will also explore the wide range of computational strategies used to estimate models from data and make statistical and causal inference. Students will study both good examples and bad examples of modeling and estimation. This course will give a quick overview of many topics and applied practice in problem sets with the hope that the students will later pursue deeper study into specific areas we cover.

Grades

You will have 9 problem sets throughout the term. I will drop everybody's lowest problem set score. For this reason, problem sets will only account for 80 percent of your grade.

Assignment Quantity Points Total Points Percent
Problem Sets 9 10 80 80%
Midterm exam 1 20 20 20%
Total Points -- -- 100 100%

Disability services

If you need any special accommodations, please provide us with a copy of your Accommodation Determination Letter (provided to you by the Student Disability Services office) as soon as possible so that you may discuss with me how your accommodations may be implemented in this course.

Course schedule

Date Day Topic Readings Assignment
Jan. 3 W Model/theory building V1997
Jan. 8 M Data generating process PS1
Jan. 10 W Maximum likelihood estimation Notes
Jan. 15 M No class (Martin Luther King, Jr. Day)
Jan. 17 W Maximum likelihood estimation Notes
Jan. 22 M Generalized method of moments Notes PS2
Jan. 24 W Generalized method of moments Notes
Jan. 29 M Statistical learning and linear regression JWHT Ch. 2, 3 PS3
Jan. 31 W Classification and logistic regression JWHT Ch. 4
Feb. 5 M Evans Midterm PS4
Feb. 7 W Generalized linear models Notes
Feb. 12 M Resampling methods (cross-validation and bootstrapping) JWHT Ch. 5 PS5
Feb. 14 W Nonlinear modeling JWHT Ch. 7
Feb. 19 M Tree-based methods JWHT Ch. 8 PS6
Feb. 21 W Tree-based methods JWHT Ch. 8
Feb. 26 M Support vector machines JWHT Ch. 9 PS7
Feb. 28 W Support vector machines ISL Ch 9
Mar. 5 M Neural networks Notes PS9
Mar. 7 W Neural networks Notes
Mar. 12 M PS10

References and Readings

All readings are required unless otherwise noted. Adjustments can be made throughout the quarter; be sure to check this repository frequently to make sure you know all the assigned readings.

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